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金价下跌 全球看空

截止至北京时间2014年1月22日15:00,伦敦金报价1239美元/盎司,高价为1244.15美元,低价为1238.81美元,波幅为5.34美元。

摩根士丹利:金价将进一步下跌;摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)称由于股市上涨,金价会在今年进一步下跌,该行下调了其黄金价格预期。摩根士丹利今天的一份报告中,将2014年金价预期下调12%至1160美元/盎司,下调2015年金价预期13%至1138美元/盎司。报告称全球经济增长以及增加的高利率风险下,黄金将继续承压。“只要整体的风险资产尤其美国股市继续表现强劲,金价就会继续承压,”报告中写到,“投资组合经理们只要在组合中放一点点避险保值资产。”该行还称黄金市场还将面临更多阵痛。

印度黄金溢价已跌至120美元/盎司:旅居海外的印度人所带入印度的黄金一定程度上缓解了印度国内供应紧张,使得其黄金溢价有所下降。此前,印度国内市场黄金溢价曾经在去年12月达到210美元/盎司,目前已跌至120美元/盎司。居住在国外的印度人被允许以10.3%的关税带入1公斤黄金。自去年印度政府采取措施限制黄金进口后,金饰进口关税为15.5%,再加上各种税费,大约要17.5%左右,因此,旅居海外的印度人回国带入黄金变得非常有利可图,也成为了近期印度国内显著增加的黄金来源。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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