黄金上行受阻 下行力不足
截止至北京时间2014年1月20日15:00，伦敦金报价1256美元/盎司，高价为1259.82美元，低价为1254.36美元，波幅为5.46美元。
摩根士丹利：黄金将继续面对空头仓：摩根士丹利称，“最不看好的是天然气、黄金和铝。摩根士丹利认为黄金很可能会继续面对空头仓、美联储缩减QE后真实利率上涨以及黄金ETF流出所带来的压力。“我们认为，央行继续买入以及中国和印度实物黄金需求的强劲并不足以抵消这些压力。”摩根士丹利对黄金在今年的价格预计在1313美元/盎司的水平，高于目前金价1250美元/盎司左右的水平。摩根士丹利认为今年第一季度黄金均价将在1275美元/盎司，到第四季度黄金均价将为1350美元/盎司。
华尔街：中国黄金成交量大 但仍存阻碍因素；据美国《华尔街日报》报道，中国买家悄悄买进、支持了金价最近的上涨走势，他们在中国春节假期前购买黄金，将其当做春节馈赠亲友的礼物，中国市场黄金成交量放大。虽然印度政府的举措取得了成功，但也在一定程度上促成中国去年超越印度成为全球最大的黄金消费国。此外，美联储决定缩减购债规模，这也削弱了黄金抵抗通胀的魅力。尽管中国买家愿意出高价购买黄金，但是有迹象显示美联储可能再次承诺缩减经济刺激措施，这或许会进一步拖累金价。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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