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黄金白银上涨 美指上涨

纽约商品期货交易所(COMEX)2月黄金期货2014年1月3日现货黄金上涨12.20美元,涨幅1%,报1236.90美元/盎司,美元指数上涨0.38%,3月白银期货上涨3.41%,收报每盎司19.99美元。

美国经济数据:美国12月ISM制造业指数为57.0,小幅高于市场预期,虽低于前值57.3但仍录得2013年第二高水平,显示美国制造业在四季度末延续高速扩张。分项报告显示,12月制造业新订单指数升至64.2,创2010年4月以来最高水平,彰显制造业下游需求全面回升,就业指数升至56.9触及2011年6月以来高点,就业市场也加速改善,产量指数虽小幅下滑但仍维持在62.2高位。值得警惕的是,12月制造业存货指数降至47.0,连续3个月显著下滑,四季度厂商囤积商品的速度明显低于三季度。前期公布的GDP报告显示,美国三季度GDP高速增长很大程度上归功于存货增加,而四季度存货累积放缓可能意味着四季度GDP增速将显著低于三季度。尽管数据维持强劲,但依然未能提振美元全面走强,后市应继续关注美元指数短期上行空间。

罗杰斯:对黄金持中性态度 长线看多商品大王吉姆·罗杰斯(Jim Rogers)日前表示,美联储资产负债表在过去5年内增加了500%,而其中充斥了大量垃圾,将于1月底卸任的伯南克将以“美联储最终被解散的始作俑者”的身份为人所铭记。”相对金矿类股票,罗杰斯更加偏爱黄金,但“眼下我不会买入”。他认为印度的进口税对于黄金市场而言是极大的拖累。对于2014年年初的行情,罗杰斯看好的是抗通胀类个股,对黄金持中性态度,但长线依旧看多。


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