年前交易淡 金价受成本支撑
截止至北京时间11:00，国际现货黄金价格为1197美元，最高价1199.95美元，最低价1195.5美元，波幅为4.45美元，投资获利或解套离场使新年前夕交易清淡
11月中国大陆从香港进口黄金量减：数据显示11月中国大陆由香港净进口黄金规模自10月的131.19公吨大幅下跌42%,至76.393公吨，暗示中国的需求已不如此前几个月那般强势。同时周一香港的黄金溢价持稳于2美元/盎司，表现并不理想。眼下由于全球经济复苏势头向好令投资者的风险偏好上升，削弱了黄金的吸引力。
金价进入成本支撑区域：过去十年黄金生产成本出现连续快速上涨，根据中国黄金协会最新数据，截至2011年，中国黄金生产成本为831美元/盎司，过去十年增长率在4.6%—25.5%之间，平均增长率为13.8%。如果按照平均增长率推算，2014年中国黄金生产成本为1175美元/盎司。截至2011年，世界黄金生产成本为809美元/盎司，过去十年平均增长率为13.8%，那么可以推算2014年世界黄金生产成本大约为1144美元/盎司。可以推算，在明年一旦黄金价格跌破1200美元/盎司，那么将有部分生产成本偏高的矿山企业面临亏本。这部分企业可能采取减产举措，减少供给，支撑金价。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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