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金价重上1200 或将回升

截止至北京时间2013年12月23日15:00,伦敦金报价1203.6美元/盎司,高价为1205.6美元,低价为1199.8美元,波幅为5.8美元。

现货黄金重新收复1200价位:周一亚洲时段金价一直整理于1200关口上方,暂时报于1202美元/盎司。此前提到金价跌破1200美元/盎司就会触及到金矿开采的成本线,在此前的跌势中已经造成不少金矿负债累累,并影响到开采,随着金价的进一步回落,这种影响会逐渐加大金价低位支持会逐渐加强,上周五金价能够反弹可能是受到部分这方面因素的支持。1200关口的失而复得使得金价短线走势可能趋于震荡,而且当前市场上已经基本面消化了美联储意外缩减QE政策的影响,因此短线来说难以指望金价再度大跌刷新年内低点。

WGC:金价有回升的潜力;世界黄金协会(WGC)的投资主管Marcus Grubb认为黄金ETF并不是黄金市场清晰的指向,金价自今年年初已经下跌了约30%,黄金ETF在今年更是流出了约800吨,然而即使在今年遭遇大规模流出,黄金ETF的持有量依然有1700吨之多。而今年,中国市场也出现了三个黄金ETF,这一趋势很可能在2014年继续。很多ETF中被赎回的黄金都是被央行们所吸收,以及强劲实物需求的亚洲市场所吸收的。因此黄金的保值不会那么容易被贬低,目前的市场正在回到均衡状态,金价有回升的潜力,这可能会是2014年的一个惊喜。


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