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黄金低位站稳 投行看空

截止至北京时间2013年12月3日15:00,伦敦金报价1222.5美元/盎司,高价为1229.2美元,低价为1217.7美元,波幅为11.5美元。

德国商业银行:金价可能跌至今年低点1180下方;德国商业银行(Commerzbank AG)称,技术面看跌的黄金下跌到了斐波纳契水平下,预示着金价可能跌至今年的低点1180.50美元/盎司下方。德国商业银行分析师Karen Jones认为从走势图来看金价动向指标显示负线在10月31日升至正线上方,显示这是售出的信号,并且ADX线在40上方,也预示着较强趋势,她说:“金价开始侵蚀其78.6%的回撤,并且开始侵蚀其11月底的低点。如果收于78.6%回撤下方,则预示着下行压力,可能会重新测试支撑点,即6月5日低点大约1208美元/盎司,以及6月28日低点1180美元/盎司。”

ANZ:明年黄金消费将逐步降温;澳新银行(ANZ)周一(12月2日)表示,今年中国实物金需求成为拯救黄金的“最后一根稻草”,其有效的抵消了黄金ETF持仓外流以及印度黄金消费回落等负面因素,不过,预计2014年该国的黄金进口将逐步降温。该行商品策略师Victor Thianpiriya在日内报告中指出,“中长期来看,中国实际利率走高以及黄金资本回报率下跌都将削弱其保值的魅力,因此明年中国大陆从香港进口的黄金规模很可能缩减。”


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