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受空头提振 金价跌至低点反弹

伦敦金早上开盘价为1253.3美元/盎司,截止至北京时间2013年11月26日11:00,伦敦金报价1252.5美元/盎司,高价为1258美元,低价为1242.8美元,波幅为15.2美元。隔夜金价一度跌至20周低点,不过其后反弹,受部分空头回补提振。缺乏数据和消息面清淡可能令金价本周未来几日倾向区间整理,本周四美国感恩节可能令本周交投进一步清淡。

美国经济表现仍较好:周三公布美国耐用品订单数据。美联储10月会议纪要强化了我们认为该央行将在3月份削减QE的预期,同时也将强化前瞻性指引。市场目前将关注基本面,透过经济数据评估3月削减QE的可能性。我们的经济学家对耐用品订单数据的预期略低于预期,但由于美国经济表现依然相对较强,金价仍将受压。

CFTC:ETF黄金持仓跌至低点 市场看空金价美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)最新公布的数据显示,11月19日当周黄金期货与期权净持仓大跌20%,至44291手,为4个月来的最低水平。因上周金价录得9月来最大单周跌幅,刺激对冲基金减持更多黄金。截至11月19日三周内投机者共减持56%的黄金净头寸,创2007年6月来最大跌幅。空头押注连升三周,多头合约降至106800手,创2012年7月以来的最低水平。


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