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减码时间或提前 金价大跌

纽约商品期货交易所(COMEX)12月黄金期货11月20日收盘下跌1.2%,收报每盎司1,258美元,创下四个月新低,因预期QE即将减码,以及美元指数上涨0.5%的影响,12月白银期货下跌1.4%,收报每盎司20.058美元。

全球最大黄金ETF减持 白银持平:全球最大黄金上市交易基金(ETF)–SPDR黄金信托基金(GLD.US)20日黄金持有量减少1.5公吨成为863.01公吨。最大的白银ETF–安硕白银指数基金(SLV.US),白银持有量持平为10,404.87公吨。

联储局多数委员看好经济 近期可能减码:联储局(FED)公布10月份会议纪录显示,参与会议的委员多数看好景气展望,未来几个月内,如果数据证明经济情势进一步改善,将考虑缩减目前每月850亿美元的购债额度,会议记录公布后,而金价跌势则是更为加重。当日公布的会议纪录也刚好可以解释为何在过去24个小时之内,FED主席柏南克与圣路易分行总裁James Bullard等两位鸽派大将不约而同、或明或暗释出QE近期可能减码的讯息。至于QE如何缩减,各方说法不一。有一派认为公债、不动产抵押债券(MBS)应该同步,但也有委员指出,MBS缩减的力道应该放轻以支持房市复苏。

香港进口中国大陆黄金增长达去年同期3倍 或可能更多:路透社11月20日报导,尽管今年1-9月大陆自香港进口的黄金几乎较去年同期增长三倍达到855公吨,但实际的进口数量可能更多,因作为大陆开放黄金市场承诺的一部分,有越来越多的黄金直接运往上海。路透社根据世界贸易信息服务(Global Trade Information Services, GTIS)的数据计算,至少还有133公吨黄金是由大陆直接进口,而且这还不包括未能提供比较数据的英国与瑞士,还有中国央行的购买量。大陆今年预计将取代印度成为最大的黄金消费国。


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