黄金期货需求疲弱 难推动金价
伦敦金早上开盘价为1274.9美元/盎司,截止至北京时间2013年11月20日11:00,伦敦金报价1275.8美元/盎司,高价为1276.35美元,低价为1273.4美元,波幅为2.95美元。
瑞银:下半年黄金ETF流出情况将继续放缓黄金ETF第三季度的流出量为350万盎司,远低于第二季度的1370万盎司。瑞银集团称:“下半年黄金ETF平仓情况减慢显示大部分投资的调整已经完成,而且许多希望离场的投资者已经退出。目前的黄金ETF持仓量跌回2010年的水平,推测那些离场的投资者大概是在1,200美元左右的价位入市,所以丰厚的回报让他们能够高枕无忧。但这并不代表市场上不会继续出现庞大的黄金赎回情况。相反,黄金无可避免将再次遭到抛售,例如美联储的货币政策态度变得鹰派。虽然现在资金正从避险资产流向股市等风险资产,导致黄金ETF投资受压,但下半年的黄金ETF流出情况不会像今年初般严重,而是会继续放缓。”
南非银行:短期实物金需求无法推动金价上扬周二南非标准银行(Standard Bank)在报告中指出,尽管近三周来国际金价持续游走于1300美元下方且今年6月及7月实物黄金流动指数曾出现大幅上涨,但近期全球(特别是亚洲)的实物金需求却没有起色。上海黄金交易所近期的黄金溢价表现也不容乐观。标准银行分析师认为,“短期仅凭着实物金需求是无法推动金价持续上扬的,这主要是因为市场对美联储退出宽松的预期不断升温。不过,眼下黄金ETF持仓外流速度略微放缓,如果未来该状况继续有所改善,结合实物金需求走强的影响或许能打破这一僵局。”
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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