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非农开好 金银受压下跌

纽约商品期货交易所(COMEX)12月黄金期货11月8日收盘下跌1.8%,收报每盎司1,284.6美元,美元指数上涨0.5%,12月白银期货下跌1.6%,收报每盎司21.317美元。

8日ETF黄金白银持有量持平不变:全球最大黄金上市交易基金(ETF)–SPDR黄金信托基金(GLD.US)8日黄金持有量持平为868.42公吨。最大的白银ETF–安硕白银指数基金(SLV.US),白银持有量持平为10,497.75公吨。

美国非农就业数据高于预期 失业率不变:美国10月就业成长加速且力道远远超出市场预期之外。美国劳工部8日公布数据显示,经过季节性因素修正后(以下皆同),10月非农业就业新增20.4万人,高于经济学家预估的12万人,其中私部门新增21.2万人,增幅为2月以来最强,公部门因受10月政府关门影响而减少0.8万人。10月就业人口大增,但失业率并无太大变动,仅由7.2%微幅上扬至7.3%,符合市场预期且接近5年新低。不过,就业强劲复苏一则以喜一则以忧,虽然美国景气似乎渐入佳境,但市场也担心联储局(FED)宽松政策退场时间也将提前。

中国实物金需求将升温:部分分析师指出亚洲稳健的实物金需求有望帮助金价重回1,300美元上方。Silver crest Asset Management首席策略师Patrick Chovanec称,中国民众可能会购入更多黄金以寻求避险,特别是当中国资产泡沫破灭的预期升温之后。North Square Blue Oak中国研究员Miranda Carr称,中国房产税递增将削弱房地产的投资兴趣,而黄金很可能成本楼市的替代品。ETF Securities高级分析师Martin Arnold称,亚洲如中国及印度的家庭普遍都会将黄金作为财富储存的第一选择。


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