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美国债务上限 仍左右国际黄金走势

截止至中国时间2013年10月15日14:00,伦敦金报价1270美元/盎司,高价为1279.4美元,低价为1266.2美元,波幅为13.2美元。周末美国华盛顿政客未能就债务上限问题达成协议,消息传出后,黄金期货反弹,作出了一个阶梯性的调整。

债务上限谈判或有望达成协议:

上周提出的延长债务上限提议,遭到奥巴马的驳回,令国际金价再度回调。而昨晚,参议院双方仍在谈判,而双方领袖或许可达成共识,将债务上限提高至下一年的2月,同时重新拨款让政府重新运作,不过方案要通过共和党控制的众议院,相信存在难度。因此,虽然金价连续5天一直下滑,但一旦债务上限的谈判失败,金价有机会极短的时间内转为上升趋势。目前暂时没有投资机构和评级机构对事件作出表态。

市场认为美国不可能拖欠债务:

虽然两党领袖已公开表示,希望不久后达成协议。但美国预算僵局仍待解决 – 两党仍未就如何结束部分政府关门的问题达成协议。紧张局势仍在升温,而财政部已警告说,在周四前他们极大可能没有足够的资金偿还债务。商业银行在报告中指出,很明显,市场人士认为美国拖欠债务是不可能的事情。


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