金价上行动力有限 预计年内缩减QE
总结:周一黄金价格以区间震荡为主,密切留意QE政策变动,花旗银行表示明年美国经济将回暖,将进一步打压金价
金价周一亚市盘中区间震荡,现货金自布拉德讲话之后算起已累计下跌2.9%。
美联储缩减QE规模预计将于本年内有所体现,黄金未来的表现仍然与QE缩减密切相关,虽然美元相较新兴市场货币的走弱有可能提振黄金的实物需求,然而这并不足以扭转黄金的趋势。
花旗银行(Citigroup)表示明年美国经济出现回暖,金价将进一步承压下行,并认为美联储出乎意料的维持债券购买规模并没有改变基本面,并预计金价可能跌到1250美元/盎司下方,报告称明年黄金均价将为1250美元/盎司。
美国8月NAR季后调后成屋签约销售月率和上周初请失业金人数都开好,令金价受压,另一方面,债券上限问题也不容忽视,这将促使金价反转利好。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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