油价反弹过快隐存风险 黄金多空争持不
有分析称目前已有17个迹象表明,2020年全球面临破纪录的经济崩溃,迹象包括美国的失业率超过16%,制造业订单降幅创历史新高、汽油消费创记录低位、墨西哥制造业活动正以有记录以来最快的速度下降。在此环境下,即使美股反弹,也被认为是多头陷阱。
原油方面,周二美原油连续6个交易日上涨,因市场对于全球经济重启的预期以及美原油储存空间不足的忧虑缓解,推动油价持续走高,五个交易日美原油价格翻了一倍,并在周三刷新近一个月新高。但市场仍担忧疫情有二次发生的风险,此外全球经济下行压力依旧高企。基于此,考虑到近期油价过快的反弹,分析认为油价近期持续上涨已经失去了动力,短时间存在回调的风险。
今日金价亚盘小幅回落后横盘,金价短时间内陷入7美元区间震荡,午后震荡区间更是缩小至3美元,近期金价主要围绕1700美元/盎司整数关口波动,关注其支撑效果,现阶段现货黄金价格交投于1703美元/盎司一线。现货白银震荡,报15.05美元/盎司。
关键字:全球经济,油价
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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