杰克逊霍尔年会来临 美元黄金双双震荡
现货黄金截止至2019年8月23日2:00收盘于1498.9美元/盎司,昨日黄金在亚盘时段保持震荡运行,直至欧盘的到来,黄金随之而来迎来下跌行情,最终到达区间低点位置1492美元/盎司位置受支撑承托止跌并展开反弹,整体行情依旧维持在1508-1492美元/盎司区间内运行。
制造业PMI数据不理想:美国8月Markit制造业PMI初值实际公布49.9,预期50.5,前值50.4,这是自2009年9月以来制造业以来首次跌至50下方。该指数低于50荣枯线意味着经济活动下降,8月数据可能加剧对美国经济步入衰退的担忧,海外经济疲弱和国际贸易局势拖累了美国经济。数据还显示,美国8月Markit综合PMI初值实际公布50.9,前值52.6。美国8月Markit服务业PMI初值实际公布50.9,预期52.8,前值53。
9月降息概率下降:三位美联储决策者异口同声反对有关美国经济需要更低利率的观点,预示着下个月美联储会议上对于是否再次降息将有一场激烈辩论。投资者已经充分定价美联储9月17日至18日会议降息25个基点,美联储内的异议可能会限制一些人提倡的更大幅度行动的可能性——其中包括美国总统特朗普。随着美联储官员意见产生分歧,市场对于美联储9月份降息50个基点的预期下滑。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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