周一市场平淡 美元黄金齐震荡
现货黄金截止至2019年7月16日3:00收盘于1414.9美元/盎司,黄金在晚间美盘时段多次触碰1410美元/盎司支撑,并且一度虚破走回1407.6美元/盎司,但最终价格修复跌幅,并借助支撑早间亚盘开市走回1418美元/盎司附近的区间高点,整体格局维持震荡盘整。
无协议脱欧概率增大:目前处于领先地位的约翰逊或是居于下风的竞争对手杰里米·亨特将于下周上任。这两位英国首相候选人都曾承诺要重新谈判爱尔兰后备方案,这是特雷莎·梅谈成的脱欧协议中最难的一部分。如果欧盟不肯谈,他们都愿意接受无协议脱欧。欧盟表示不会重新磋商,欧盟在小心避免向亨特,特别是约翰逊做出比向特雷莎·梅多得多的让步,然而欧盟官员们也表示,他们还留有一些余地,因为当他们明白无论他们怎么让步特雷莎·梅的协议都不太可能获议会通过时,他们保留了一些让步方案。
原油产量仍过剩:由于多国经济增速放缓的影响,今年以来,全球石油消费远低于预期,这意味着在2019年上半年,全球原油过剩情况仍在继续不断加剧,虽然OPEC及其合作伙伴通过减产来保持市场均衡 ,但结果并不理想。全球经济放缓,以及石油库存居高不下所带来的担忧情绪,或使油价下跌在此状况下,OPEC可能需要将产量削减至17年来的最低水平,以平衡市场。国际能源署表示,由于OPEC减产,今年上半年全球石油库存意外增加,其他合作伙伴也未能阻止库存再度。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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