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美元高位震荡 黄金弱势运行

现货黄金市场2018年8月2日14点收盘于1219.6美元/盎司,金价持续弱势震荡行情,在早间开盘时触及1215.3美元/盎司后回升,但金价依然受压于1220一线压力,在上行至1221美元/盎司后回落窄幅震荡。整体走势偏弱,但金价在多次测试1210-1215一线都获得强力的支撑,投资者依然需要注意区间破位情况。

英银大概率加息:英国央行将公布利率决议、会议纪要及通胀报告。鉴于经济数据支持本次加息,当前市场押注加息概率高达90%。而除了加息外,认为此次决议还有三大看点,并预计卡尼对均衡利率的新看法将会成为决定英镑行情的重点。而长期来看,英镑或仍看英国央行加息路径以及脱欧进展脸色。

伊朗举行军演:近日,美国和伊朗之间的冲突愈演愈烈。伊朗将在未来48小时在波斯湾进行重大军事演习,以展示伊朗有能力封锁霍尔木兹海峡。尽管美国没有看到来自伊朗的直接敌对意图,但伊朗的武力展示让美国军事情报部门“极为担忧”。美国军方努力鼓励该地区的其它国家,尤其是沙特,在伊朗言论日益高涨的情况下,采取强硬立场保持海湾开放。


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