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黄金重拾多头 美元承压下滑

现货黄金市场2018年7月23日14点收盘于1230.9美元/盎司,金价在早间冲击重压1235美元/盎司一线后回撤,目前维持与1230-1233区间窄幅震荡。现货黄金在短期内可能面临小幅调整,在调整过后依然有机会继续上涨。

美联储禁言期:美联储将在北京时间8月2日公布利率决议,并发表货币政策声明, 此次无点阵图发布,也不会召开新闻发布会。因此,美联储采取加息等具体政策措施的概率也微乎其微,但其决议措辞却仍备受关注。美联储主席鲍威尔称,政政策使中性利率承受上行压力。当利率接近中性水准时,在货币政策声明中保留“宽松”措辞将不再恰当。

美国受贸易战拖累:美国经济在今年春天出现强势增长,快速增长的经济意味着更低的失业率,此次为9年前脱离大衰退以来的最快增速之一。亲商的特朗普政府试图通过大幅减税和放松管制,让美国经济更快发展,但在贸易争端不断酝酿的情况下,这也带来许多焦虑情绪。关税战的威胁正导致企业推迟一些未来的支出计划,直到他们对税收政策的结果有更好的了解。


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