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脱欧进展欠佳英镑承压 黄金或受美债持

现货黄金市场2018年6月21日3点整收盘于每盎司1269.5美元,较前一交易日收盘价相比,下跌5.7美元,现货白银震荡,报16.27美元/盎司。

脱欧忧虑升温致英镑承压:周三英镑兑美元连续第三个交易日走软,跌破1.32关口,刷新年内低点。由于“英国脱欧”协商缺乏实质性进展,英国工党表示,英国上议院将考虑针对脱欧法案修改进行重要投票。此外,英国央行将于周四公布利率决议和货币政策会议纪要。

美债收益率反弹压力加大不利黄金后市:尽管美元于周三表现相对平淡,但金价仍跌破1270美元整数关口,创下年内新低至1267.6美元。究其原因,美债收益率普遍上涨对金价构成压制作用。此前,由于中美贸易战局势升级,令市场对全球经济产生悲观预期,诸如股市等高收益率资产承压下挫,而美债则受到青睐,美债收益率相应下跌。但随着市场恐慌情绪有所降温,已有部分声音认为中美贸易战最终将不会成为现实。同时,在市场情绪过渡悲观时,美国经济数据表现强劲和通胀抬头压力加大的事实却有被低估的嫌疑。在这种情况下,美债收益率有望反弹,而金价或将继续承压。


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