美元或将重拾强势 现货黄金低位震荡
截止至今日北京时间14:00，国际现货黄金价格为1282.5美元/盎司，日内冲高至1284美元/盎司附近，最低下探至1278美元/盎司附近；现货白银震荡，报16.45美元/盎司。
利率走向奠定美元强势地位：上周以来美元强势回升，令金价大幅回撤。虽然短期内金价出现企稳迹象，但窄幅波动下，仍表明多头信心尚待修复。对于美元重拾强势，有关美联储与欧洲央行等主要央行之间的利率政策预期差异是支撑美元走强的主要因素。此前，美指曾上攻至95关口后回落，部分原因在于欧洲央行将推出量化宽松政策，且将早于市场预期加息这一猜测引发欧元反弹所致。不过，从上周欧洲央行传达的信号来看，虽然欧银计划于年底推出宽松政策，但在加息时间这一问题上仍显摇摆不定，导致此前有关欧银转鹰的预期破灭，并推动美元重拾升势。
警惕美油未来下行风险：尽管昨日欧佩克增产石油可能大幅不及预期的传闻主宰了油市，但中美贸易关系的继续恶化致使原油需求不确定性加强，美油在今早也呈震荡下行的走势。据最新消息称，特朗普正在考虑追加对中国2000亿元的进口商品征税10%，以报复中国官方此前对美国农产品、能源类产品建设贸易壁垒的行为。而中国商务部也随后公布对美日进口的氢碘酸产品反倾销调查的初步裁定，预计未来双方还有多次交锋。两大经济体的贸易纠纷似乎愈演愈烈，由于中国是美国最大石油进口商之一，两国互征关税必定会会减少美原油的出口，美国很难在短期内找寻能够替代中国需求体量的国家。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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