金特会成拦路虎 金价持续徘徊1300
现货黄金市场2018年6月12日4点整收于每盎司1300.4美元,较前一交易日相比,微涨1.2美元,整体保持震荡走势。现货白银方面,表现较黄金强势,最终报16.91美元/盎司。
欧洲央行议息会议亦不容小觑:欧洲央行将紧随美联储脚步,于本周举行会议。诸多经济学家普遍预计,欧洲央行将于周四公布最终缩减月度债券购买规模的计划,并在年底前退出宽松计划。介于此预期,上周以来欧元持续反弹,并导致美元走软,一定程度上对金价构成了支撑。因此,欧元走势对于金价的间接影响力仍不容轻视。
美联储将导致美元流动性蒸发:美国巨额的税收削减及政府支出增加需要发行大量的新债务,而与此同时,美联储却在加息并通过量化紧缩缩减其资产负债表。这将导致美元流动性蒸发,让市场变得异常脆弱。美国赤字飙升,需要外国投资者拿出更多美元来资助美国财政部。但如果美联储“缩表”,那就意味着,他们出售给银行的债券正在从经济中吸走美元,这与向经济中注入美元的量化宽松政策正好相反。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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