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美元仍存走强风险 黄金白银或再度承压

截止至今日北京时间14:00,国际现货黄金价格为1314.7美元/盎司,日内冲高至1318.7美元/盎司附近,最低下探至1313.3美元/盎司附近;现货白银震荡反弹,报16.51美元/盎司。

油价创逾三年新高:随着美国决定是否退出伊朗核协议日期临近,美油创出了逾三年的高点。尽管美钻井数持续增加,美油产量续增,同时对冲基金降低了对于油价上涨的预期,以及沙特和伊朗之间分歧加剧或导致部分成员国退出减产协议,但是伊朗核协议主导的市场情绪仍推动油价的不断上涨。

英镑或面临挑战:目前市场普遍预期英国央行将按兵不动,但仍有投行认为其可能降息。5月5日,瑞穗银行对冲基金销售主管琼斯警告称,英国央行下一步行动可能不会市场所预期的加息,而是降息,英镑将大幅下挫。在距离英国央行5月货币政策会议只有几天的时间情况下,该行的预测实为胆大,基于当前脱欧谈判的状态,英国央行可能会在2019年3月份之前按兵不动,今年应该不会加息,大量的不确定性将打压消费者和企业信心,英镑将大幅下跌。琼斯还表示,若2019年3月之后英国和欧盟没有达成协议,导致硬脱欧,英镑将进一步下跌。


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