欧元多头前途黯淡 黄金回落1320生死线
现货黄金市场2018年4月26日4点整收盘于每盎司1322.7美元,较前一交易日收盘价相比,大幅回落8.7美元,现货白银收盘跌0.06,报16.55美元/盎司。
欧元区经济陷入停滞:欧元区的经济增长似乎已经陷入停滞,不少分析认为欧元可能已经达到巅峰。欧洲央行行长德拉基不会在此次利率决议上改变其现有的货币政策,其货币政策立场也不会有明显的改变。在过去四周内,欧洲央行的企业债购买计划步伐已经显著放缓。此次声明的基调可能会更为谨慎,风险平衡并不会如3月份那样乐观。此前公布的欧元区经济活动数据减弱,地缘政治风险仍在上升,而3月份的通胀数据并没有带来积极的惊喜。这些因素将会继续支持大多数理事会成员的观点,促使欧洲央行采取一个更为渐进的步伐来实现货币政策正常化。欧元区的资产购买计划料将逐渐削减,并在12月结束,欧洲央行在2019年的前半年时间中可能不会有新措施。这对欧元多头来说可能不是一个好消息。
OPEC减产协议3月合规度创新高:3月份OPEC产油国和其他产油国自愿产量调整的合规程度达到了减产协议签署以来的最高水平。上周五(4月20日)OPEC和非OPEC联合部长级监督委员会在沙特吉达举行了第八次会议。会议报告显示,3月份减产协议的合规度达到了149%,这是迄今为止的最高水平。鉴于减产协议对于全球油市深远的影响,联合部长级监督委员会决定进一步加强合作。而下一次联合部长级监督委员会会议将在6月21日于奥地利维也纳的OPEC秘书处举行。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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