非农数据表现欠佳 英镑“季节性”走势强
现货黄金市场2018年4月7日2点整收盘于每盎司1331.7美元,较前一交易日收盘价相比,上涨5.1美元,现货白银收盘跌0.05,报16.35美元/盎司。
非农欠佳情有可原:美国劳工部公布的三月份非农就业报告,新增就业岗位大幅不及预期,失业率亦差于预期;但市场认为数据欠佳可能是天气原因所导致,因此,最初市场对其反应并不强烈,美元近温和下挫二十余点,但随后中国商务部及外交部先后强硬回应美国企图对华进一步加税事件,才令美元指数遭遇重创。美国3月非农就业新增人口录得6个月来最小增幅,因温和天气带来的提振作用有所消退,但薪资增速有所上扬;意味着就业市场仍在收紧,能够对消费支出提供支撑,允许美联储今年进一步加息。
英镑季节性行情再现:在本周美元止跌回升的大背景之下,英镑表现仍旧异常强劲,周涨幅达0.53%,收报1.4088,在非美货币中可谓“一枝独秀”,过去13年来,英镑兑美元每逢4月都会上涨,美银美林将之称作G-10货币中最强的季节性趋势。该行建议利用周期性走强模式开展两个月期期权交易,瑞穗银行和荷兰合作银行也对英镑4月份会有卓越表现的趋势表示了信心。与这一趋势相对应的是,受到外国企业向英国股东派息以及在英国财年开始之际有其他投资流入的推动,每年此时英国的资金流入往往都会增加。美银美林表示,以往即使是在金融不稳定和政治风险加剧的情况下,英镑也会在4月份走强,这一事实也有助于增强对季节性因素的信心。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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