美联储加息临近 黄金白银继续回落
现货黄金市场2018年3月17日3点整收盘于每盎司1312.9美元，较前一交易日收盘价相比，下跌3.5美元，现货白银收盘跌0.1，报16.28美元/盎司。
美联储决议临近施压金价：周五(3月16日)金价下跌，并创下三周来最大单周跌幅，主要受到美元走强以及美联储将于下周首次加息的预期打压。但由于美国政局动荡以及潜在贸易战风险引发了市场的避险需求，限制了金价的下跌空间。据统计，近年来，金价往往在美联储加息前下跌，而在美联储加息后反弹。对此，CPM集团的管理合伙人Jeffrey Christian认为，这一现象表明，美国目前的利率水平对金价还不构成明显的负面影响。
欧洲央行首次加息料于2019年中进行：月初公布的欧洲央行3月利率决议在市场上引发了略偏鹰派的反应，不过行长德拉基的基调则谨慎偏鸽。不过当前市场对欧洲央行利率预期的计价存在偏差，即使欧洲央行管委会在四季度不扩大资产购买，但其也不会提前加息，仍存在延迟加息可能。欧洲央行3月利率决议进一步强化了当前市场计价，即其将于2019年年中首次加息。当前市场对欧银的预期为，将进一步缩减量化宽松(QE)购买规模，并于明年年中加息，对管委会而言可能是可接受的中间地带。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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