金价再试前高 欧银决议前料多方动能有
截止至今日北京时间14:00整国际现货黄金报1342.1美元/盎司,亚盘时段总体保持昨晚上行高位窄幅区间震荡,大致为1339-1342。形态上,多头仍占据盘面优势,但交易量明显减弱,或因在周四欧洲央行利率决议前市场保持谨慎心理。
美元走软成金价上涨主要动能:金价上涨至近期高位,美元和美国国债收益率走弱,支撑了金价的上行势头。但由于美国政府停摆危机的缓解,避险需求下降,削弱了金价的上涨动力。在欧洲央行利率决议和美国GDP数据出炉之前,交易员等待进一步的方向。需要注意的是,美元走软仍是金价上涨的最主要驱动力。此外,近期欧元和英镑的强劲表现也在近几周推动金价走高。
细数机构预期欧银决议:欧洲央行1月利率决议来袭,关注机构对本次决议的预期:美银美林表示需关注德拉基讲话;北欧银行和荷兰国际集团均预计德拉基将放鸽,前者认为欧元短线偏下行,后者认为宜逢低吸纳。此外,澳新银行上修了欧元兑美元的预期,预计一季度末、二季度末、三季度末和四季度末将逐步续涨,2018年底上看1.28。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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