油价受支撑持稳高位 金价于1320关口受
现货黄金市场2018年1月9日4点整收盘于每盎司1318.8美元，较前一交易日收盘价相比，下跌1.6美元，现货白银收盘跌0.11，报17.09美元/盎司。
油价持稳美增产倾向不可小视：周一油价收高，因伊朗国内政治局势紧张和美国石油钻探活动下滑引发油市供给将下滑的猜测。但美国原油产量上周依然录得上涨，令这一推论有效性仍有待观察。美油报61.9美元/桶，涨0.75%。布油报67.91美元/桶，涨0.43%。据能源服务公司贝克休斯公布的数据显示，上周美国活跃石油钻井平台数量下降5口至742口。尽管如此，美国原油产量依然高企也是不争的事实。知名金融博客零对此表示，美国石油钻井数在过去4周内都没有上升，且上周下降5口，录得11月初以来最大单周降幅。但同时，美国原油产量依然位于纪录高位。因此，贝克休斯石油钻井数据可能较油市现状有所滞后，钻井数可能于未来几周出现上升。
美元加息预期上升拖累黄金：周一尽管美国公布了令人失望的就业数据，但对即将到来的美国加息的预期给美元提供了支撑。黄金收复了其早期损失的大部分，至1315美元/盎司附近受到支撑，目前正承压于1321美元/盎司下方小幅震荡。自欧洲早期会议以来，美国国债收益率小幅走软，支撑了美国国债收益率，而这将有利于非收益的黄金。这再加上股市小幅回调，所有主要的欧洲股指都大幅上扬，进一步支撑了贵金属的避险吸引力。不过，预期美联储将在3月加息，再加上美联储强劲的美元购买意愿，对以美元计价的大宗商品的任何额外收益都保持了限制。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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