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金价震荡回调 非农或引发新一轮单边

截止至今日北京时间14:00整,国际现货黄金报1319.9美元/盎司开盘,凌晨持续拉高之1325.7美元/盎司后,即开启震荡回落模式。但市场交投并不明显,在晚间非农数据公布前,料将保持谨慎。需要注意的是,近期多头过分强势,技术面已到达转折的零界点,若数据能带来持续上涨动能,金价有望开启在一节奏的新回升,否则将陷入大幅调整。

风险投资者质疑美元持续走软:由于美联储的加息前景和美国税改政策,关注风险的投资者可能想对美元走软的观点提出质疑。2017年年初看涨市场的观点被证明无正当理由后尤为如此。12个月前,彭博调查的预测中值认为,美元将延续美国大选后的上涨态势,对冲基金纷纷买入美元。结果,进入2017年那几天美元位于峰值,2017年整年以下跌近9%收尾。因此,过分悲观者需要谨慎。

高油价或刺激页岩油扩大产量:美国能源信息署公布的数据显示,美国截至12月29日当周EIA原油库存减少741.9万桶,大幅超出预期的514.8万桶。而汽油库存增加481.3万桶,超过预期的218.2万桶。此外,精炼油库存录得13个月以来最大增幅。数据公布后,油价迅速冲高。但有分析师认为,油价的涨势或许将很快结束,因当前价格只会刺激美国页岩油商扩大产量。


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