金价持续高企 警惕短期调整
截止至今日北京时间14:00整,国际现货黄金报1282.2美元/盎司,亚盘时段保持相对高位窄幅整理,凌晨高位回落幅度也极为有限,多头仍占据绝对优势,但因短期技术形态明显背离,后市应谨防调整风险。此外,消息面较为缺乏,价格或更多受技术面影响。
黄金头寸增加助攻金价:据标普GSCI整体回报指数与标普500股指价格相关性统计显示,大宗商品目前的估值水平徘徊于历史低点附近,这也意味着黄金等资产于2018年或有较大的上涨空间。统计结果可能预示了,大宗商品于2018起将开启一段大牛市。与此同时,对冲基金和基金经理的黄金净多头头寸也出现明显增加,从上周的20周低点上涨了3%。这将极大利好金市前景。
房市数据良好但存潜在风险:昨日公布的数据显示,美国10月20座大城市未季调房价指数年率为6.38%,好于预期的6.25%及前值6.16%。楼市数据表现良好,说明美国经济动能仍然强劲。但分析师认为,逐渐收紧的货币政策导致房贷成本升高,而薪资水平上涨缓慢,物价水平潜在上行,未来美国人购房意愿仍将可能下降。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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