利好不涨 金价恐存下挫风险
昨日国际现货黄金于1264.5美元/盎司开盘,最高上行至1268.3美元/盎司,最低下探至1263.1美元/盎司,最终于1265.4美元/盎司收盘,微弱收涨,但总体保持高位整理,虽日内再度录得新高,但多头明显上攻乏力。昨日消息面均利好黄金,但影响有限,若后市不能有效突破中线压制,金价仍有下挫风险。
表面不及预期,实际向好:据显示,美国三季度GDP增速为3.2%。低于经济学家预测的3.3%,但仍高于二季度3.1%的增速,并创下2015年第一季度以来的最快增速;三季度消费者支出年化季率终值为2.2%,低于预估值2.3%。三季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率终值为1.3%,低于预估值1.4%;上周初请失业金人数为24.5万人,虽然超出预估值和前值,但仍维持于30万人以下水平。
税改通过但或优越性欠佳:美国参议院共和党籍议员Flake表示,参议院可能于美国时间周五就短期支出法案进行投票。此前,众议院以224-201的投票结果通过了税改法案,等待总统特朗普签署生效。明年支付更高税收的人约850万,有1.43亿人将获得更低的税收。市场预计如果从整体来看,税改的优越性并不大。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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