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金价暂时止跌 非农或致狂风暴雨

截止至今日北京时间14:00整,国际现货黄金报1249.1美元/盎司,凌晨开盘后延续跌势,最低下行至1243.9美元/盎司,随后开启小幅反弹。空头氛围仍为市场主导,但鉴于晚间有重磅非农公布,市场情绪谨慎,交投较为清淡。

美国非农预期良好:鉴于近期劳动市场数据向好,市场对11月非农就业数据较为乐观。分析师认为,9月飓风对劳动力市场影响减弱,美国非农新增就业人数有望维持于每月15万至20万人之间的增速。且对于薪资水平市场预计远超前值,这也是今晚非农最可能出现意外的因素。若分项数据好坏不一,金价有望迎来宽幅震荡。

分析师看衰明年金价:周四荷兰银行分析师表示,因美元正寻求复苏,2018年黄金价格可能不会有太大的涨幅。预计明年金价面临巨大的下行压力,将跌至1250至1200美元/盎司,而有望在2019年再次上涨。而对于世界各国央行正开始收紧货币政策,这势必会拖累金价下跌,这给黄金等零收益资产带来负面影响。


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