金价濒临反压 涨跌关键在美国CPI
截止至北京时间10月13日14:00整，国际现货黄金报价为1296.0美元/盎司，日内最高价为1296.9美元/盎司，最低价为1291.9美元/盎司，总体保持缓慢走高格局，但幅度仍然有限。4小时和日线级别压制近在眼前，日间能否有效突破，仍需要更多消息刺激。
美国CPI数据料成晚间爆发点：目前交易商聚焦晚间美国消费者物价指数。昨日凌晨公布的9月货币政策会议纪要显示，许多决策者仍认为今年“可能有理由”再加息一次，但多位决策者称，在决定未来利率行动时，他们会关注未来几个月的通胀数据。鉴于本次纪要偏鸽有明显打压金价的态势，晚间数据若重新加剧对未来加息的预期，金价有望迎来调整。
IEA预计明年油市将基本平衡：周四IEA公布的9月月报表示，若OPEC产量稳定在当前水平附近，则可以预计全球油市明年将“基本平衡”，因石油消费增长协助减轻已持续三年的燃料库存过剩，而且也应该会大致抵销掉石油产量的大幅上升。此外，IEA还预期2017年全球原油需求增加160万桶/日，2018年增幅放缓至140万桶/日。这或将给油市带来中线支撑。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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