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地缘政治影响有限 金价或陷震荡

昨日国际现货黄金开盘价为1280.7美元/盎司,期间几乎未经过任何回撤,即拉开强势回升,最终收盘价为1291.2美元/盎司,日内最高价为1294美元/盎司,涨幅大约0.82%。目前价格仍保持波段走强,但中线空头格局尚未遭遇破坏。短期之内金价有望开启相对高位整理,以期消息面带来更多指引方向。

FED加息预期遏制金价升势:周二金价升至近两周高位,西班牙和朝鲜地缘政治紧张局势和美元走软提供支撑,但对于美联储今年再次加息的预期遏制了金价的升势。分析师普遍认为,后市金价波段涨跌关键在于地缘政治因素是否持续恶化,若进一步发酵,金价有望再度回归1300上方;否则,受12月90%加息预期的利空影响,金价或将再度破低。

IMF上调全球经济增长预期:国际货币基金组织总共189个成员国的财政部长和央行行长本周聚首华盛顿,出席该组织年度会议。该组织最新发布的10月世界经济展望中上调了2017年全球全球及美国、中国、欧元区和日本2017及2018年的GDP增长预期。其表示2017年全球GDP预计将增长3.6%,2018年将增长3.7%,均较7月份时预测值上调0.1个百分点。


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