非农利空金价 关注调整是否到位
7月31日至8月5日当周，国际现货黄金开盘价为1270.0美元/盎司，收盘价为1258.2美元/盎司，周内最高价为1273.8美元/盎司，最低价为1254.1美元/盎司，总体表现为冲高回落，跌幅约0.93%。此次调整初期是受到技术面指标修复需求，后因消息面利空跌势加大。但大周期多头走势尚未遭到破坏，重点关注1250美元/盎司支撑。
靓丽非农打压金价：7月非农报告显示，美国7月非农就业人口增长20.9万，预期增长18万。美国7月失业率4.3%，创十六年新低，预期4.3%。美国7月平均每小时工资月率0.3%，为五个月最大增速，预期0.3%。虽然该数据一定程度上可能会加大美国收紧货币环境的概率，但通胀不及目标仍然是美联储面临的主要挑战。金价短期受到较大利空影响，但持久性有待观望。
美国物价数据及杜德利讲话：周四即将公布的美国7月份PPI数据和周五即将公布的7月份核心CPI年率和月率，是本周最为重要的经济数据。该组数据是观测美联储通胀水平的重要指标，将对未来加息或缩债的时间和幅度造成重要影响。此外，周四晚间美联储票委杜德利也将发表讲话，若其能延续鹰牌措辞，美元有望再度得到上行动能，进而对黄金和非美货币产生一定的打压。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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