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金价步入调整 关注1257支撑有效性

截止至北京时间8月3日14:00整,国际现货黄金报价为1262.5美元/盎司,日内最高价为1272.5美元/盎司,最低价为1256.9美元/盎司,总体表现为小幅冲高后破低反弹,1260下方有明显的多头接盘迹象。大级别中上涨势头尚未破坏,但小周期有望迎来调整。

小非农ADP略微不及预期:周三纽市盘初公布的美国7月ADP就业人数增长17.8万,预期增长19万,前值增长15.8万,略微不及预期。该数据短期内给金价带来微幅提振,但影响有限。穆迪认为,美国就业市场继续高速运转,大部分行业和企业就业岗位录得增长,但制造业就业岗位下降,预计在此就业增速的带动下,失业率将继续下滑。

市场等待周五美国非农:北京时间周五20:30将公布美国7月季调后非农就业人口变动和失业率,22家大型投行预测显示,美国7月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于17.0万-22.0万,失业率料介于4.3%-4.4%,平均时薪年率增幅料介于2.3%-2.5%。因美联储7月货币政策决议鸽派维稳, 8月非农报告料将为未来加息或缩债提供更多证据。


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