金价快速反弹 FED加息预期降温
7月9日至15日当周，国际现货黄金开盘价为1213.1美元/盎司，最低价为1204.7美元/盎司，最高价为1232.6美元/盎司，收盘价为1228.7美元/盎司，总体表现为探底回升态势，且多头力量有持续增强的迹象。未来能否形成真正的反转仍需取决于美国经济动态。
埃文斯称年内加息次数仍有待观察：上周五美联储公布了2017年票委埃文斯的讲话稿，他认为，虽然美国经济表现出色，但通胀率仍然顽固地低于2%，美联储在利率上调过程中应该非常缓慢。此外，埃文斯还承认实体经济的实力，并支持减少美联储4.5万亿美元的资产负债表。而对于年内总共会加多少次息，埃文斯表示仍有待观察。偏鸽派言论对现货黄金带来明显提振。
美国CPI及零售销售双双表现疲软：上周五公布的美国CPI以及零售销售数据，双双表现疲软，而此前发布的其他经济数据，也难有亮点，这似乎也预示着第二季度，美国经济难以摆脱一季度的疲软。越来越多的投行以及市场人士看衰美联储下半年的加息行动。高盛认为，连未来加息几率最高的月份12月也只有50%。这或是金价由低位快速攀升的根本动力。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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