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非农扩大黄金跌幅 周内关注1200支撑

7月3日当周,国际现货黄金开盘价为1241.7美元/盎司,随机展开快速下跌,最低到达1207.3美元/盎司,收盘于1209.8美元/盎司。前半周回落主要受技术面打压,上周五非农数据提供消息面助攻。本周观盘重点为1200美元/盎司整数关口支撑的有效性。

非农新增超预期,但薪资停滞不前:美国6月非农就业人口增加22.2万,好于预期的17.8万,而前值从13.8万修正为15.2万,大超预期。不过失业率意外上升至4.4%,此前预期为4.3%,脱离早前创下的16年低位,有分析认为这是因更多的人进入就业市场,是个好现象。而薪资增速依然疲软,不增反降。这给金价短期冲高却大幅回落的动能。

耶伦证词、官员讲话、经济数据齐上阵:耶伦即将在本周三及周四在国会发表半年度货币政策讲话,投资者可以密切关注有关加息以及缩表的看法。其次,各官员包括:旧金山联储主席威廉姆斯、堪萨斯城联储主席乔治、美联储理事布雷纳德、达拉斯联储主席卡普兰讲话、芝加哥联储主席埃文斯都讲发表讲话。此外,美国LMCI数据及零售销售数据也值得关注。


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