6月加息预期打压金价 焦点转向非农
截止至今日14:00整,国际现货黄金价格为1261.5美元/盎司,自开盘即于日内最高价1263.6美元/盎司一线展开震荡回落,但幅度有限,最低价为1259.4美元/盎司。后市重点关注1260整数关口能否站稳,这是多头能否反攻的关键。
官员支持6月加息,但总次数有分歧:此前多位美联储官员相继发声,基本都支持6月加息,但对年内加息的总次数意见不一。达拉斯联储主席卡普兰支持今年再加息两次,同时开启缩表;而一向以鸽派著称的美联储理事布雷纳德虽然支持尽快加息一次,但核心通胀缺乏进展可能影响年内第三次加息的概率。目前美国联邦基金期货交易市场预计,6月美联储加息25个基点的概率接近89%。
美国今日公布2018年财政预算案:周二美国公布的一系列经济数据好坏参半,但总体支撑美联储6月升息的预期。数据显示,大城市房价指数和达拉斯商业活动指数好于预期;咨商会消费信心指数不及预期;而个人收支、PCE物价指数符合预期。未来数据焦点集中在周四的ADP就业数据以及周五美国劳工部公布的非农就业报告。目前经济学家平均预期5月份新增非农就业人数为18.5万人。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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