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金价遭遇1250-1260中线级别支撑

2017年5月2日国际现货黄金以1260.1美元/盎司开盘,随后开启快速回落模式,并于1255.2美元/盎司,日内最低价为1251.8美元/盎司,跌幅约0.39%。虽然短线高位回落走势既定,但价格已经进入1250-1260周线级别支撑区域,后续走势上存在诸多不确定性。

美联储5月加息概率微乎其微:北京时间本周四凌晨2点将公布美联储5月利率决议并发表货币政策声明。虽然届时不会公布最新经济预估,也不会举行新闻发布会,但仍不能被忽视,因为此次决议有可能为未来加息进程提供暗示。且金价进入中线方向选择期,后续走势需要更多基本面指引。此外,根据联邦基金利率期货最新的数据,美联储6月加息概率在69.7%,5月加息概率微乎及微。

近期热点有望助金价突围:周三市场炒作的热点主要有三个,分别是美联储利率决议、包含“小非农”和欧元区一季度GDP的欧美经济数据、法国总统候选人电视辩论。这些消息均有可能给金融市场带来大幅冲击。目前金价处于中线回升走势的关键支撑区间,若该线稳守,后市仍有破高前置;若基于基本面打压被确认下破,金价有望开启中线级别调整。


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