美元高位回落 金价低位反弹
国际现货黄金2016年8月27日凌晨收盘于1323.4美元每盎司,较前一交易日相比,上涨了2.6美元每盎司。现货白银较前一交易日上涨,报18.78美元每盎司。
PCE数据表现平平,纽元收复部分失地:周二亚盘,纽元兑美元在触及隔夜高点0.7264之后陷入盘整走势,该价位处于过去2周震荡区间的中枢。隔夜美元指数冲高回落是纽元汇率反弹的主要驱动因素。尽管耶伦上周末复制了此前美联储鹰派官员的讲话,但隔夜公布的美国个人消费支出数据总体持平预期值,并不支持美联储9月加息。本周中、美两国将分别有PMI数据和非农就业数据待公布。纽元汇率走势将从中寻找新的驱动因素。
年内加息预期上升,油价承压下行:周一因美联储年内加息预期上升,加上交易商预计OPEC无法在9月份达成冻产协议,两大原油期货价格均小幅收低,WTI原油收低0.72%至46.95美元/桶,布伦特原油收低0.76%到49.41美元/桶。美联储主席耶伦在上周五全球年会上发表的言论增强了市场对美联储将在年内再度加息的预期。美联储加息将推动美元汇率上涨,持有其他货币的买家买入美元计价原油的成本将会变高,从而商品需求受到遏制,最终导致价格下跌。在未来几周时间里,原油价格的重要驱动因素将是OPEC将在下个月底召开的一次非正式会议。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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