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中国CPI下滑 黄金小幅上涨

截止至今日北京时间14:30,国际现货黄金价格为1173.3美元/盎司,最高价为1174.4美元,最低价为1166.2美元,上涨了6美元,涨幅为0.5%。

美国也处于通缩边缘:虽然近期市场讨论的焦点是欧元区和部分新兴市场的通缩风险,但事实上美国目前也已经处于通缩边缘。圣路易斯联储在报告中表示:过去8个月美国所有的价格上涨都来自西部。根据该报告,不包括西部地区在内,美国8月以CPI衡量的通胀年率应该是-0.19%,而不是0.2%。美国低通胀及通缩的可能性或许给美联储构成较大的难题,尤其是在货币政策的制定中,这份报告显示的低通胀,很可能会对升息造成较大的压力,从而使美联储推迟到明年加息,这对美元构成较大的利空,从而有力提振黄金。

中国9月居民消费价格指数欠佳:中国统计局周三公布数据显示,中国9月居民消费品价格指数年率1.6%,低于前值2%,且不及预期1.8%。CPI年率表现欠佳,显示出当前中国经济增速放缓,这很可能会使市场对中国经济拖累全球经济增长的担忧加深,从而引起市场对黄金的避险保值需求,这在未来一段时间内或将成为黄金的有力支撑,从而助推金价逐步走高。


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