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加息预期浓重 黄金大幅下跌

黄金期货市场2015年8月黄金期价7月20日收于每盎司1096.7美元,比前一交易日在下跌了35.6美元,跌幅为3.14%。白银期货下跌了1.15%,报14.64美元。

美联储加息声音不断:美国圣路易斯联储主席布拉德周一表示,美联储在9月份首次加息的可能性超过50%,美联储必须开始前瞻性,考虑利率政策并撤销紧急政策设定。布拉德预计,美国今年下半年经济增长3%。谈及全球其他国家经济对于美联储的影响,布拉德认为,希腊不确定性看来已经过去,中国股市回转未大到足以影响美国货币政策的地步。由于希腊债务危机基本得到解决,而中国股市虽小有反弹但市场影响力有限。同时,从布拉德的言论可以看出,他对当前美国经济发展状况持乐观态度,使美联储加息言论越发升温,利好美元走强,从而打压金价走低。

纽元大幅上涨:周一亚市午后,纽元兑美元位于0.6565附近水平徘徊。盘中纽元大幅飙升,短线目前上涨70基点至0.6574,此前新西兰总理约翰基在新闻发布会上表示,当前新西兰经济继续以客观速度增长,旅游业和其他重要行业均运行良好。在当前乳制品价格下跌之际,没有必要对经济前景感到悲观。由于新西兰总理对其经济表述利好的言论,纽元得到提振,使得纽元兑美元汇率大涨,从而抑制美元部分涨幅,但强势的美元前景预计将继续对黄金构成施压。


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