美联储不加息 黄金大幅上涨
黄金期货市场2015年7月黄金期价6月17日收于每盎司1184.6美元，比前一交易日上涨了3.6美元，涨幅为0.3%。白银期货上涨了0.63%，报16.08美元。
维持关键利率不变 金价应声大涨：昨夜，美联储联邦公开市场委员会，下调了今年美国经济增长预期和明后两年利率预期，表明升息时间比市场预期的要晚，目前维持关键利率在0至0.25%不变。不过，美联储表示，将在就业市场进一步改善，以及通胀向2%目标回升时，将会升息。受美联储目前暂缓升息计划影响，金价在纽约尾盘时段大幅拉升，但美国经济正在温和扩张，失业率维持低水平，内需扩大和房产市场复苏力度强，美联储对通胀升向2%持乐观信心，年底前依旧有加息的合理时机，金价后市回升仍受考验。
加息条件未达 但有改善空间：昨夜，在FOMC会议后，美联储主席耶伦在新闻发布会上称，自从3月会议以来，就业增速加快，劳动力市场好转；通胀下行压力减轻，但尚未达到首次加息的条件。但耶伦表示，尽管就业市场的一些周期性疲软因素依然存在，薪资增速依然受抑，但失业情况的较广泛指标继续改善，并且随着就业市场改善，通胀将升向目标。从耶伦的声明中可以看出，耶伦对美国经济未来发展是十分有信心的，为年内加息路径创造良好条件，虽然在短期未能实现加息，促使黄金开启上行通道，但在长期来看，对金价依然有一定的抑制作用。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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