欧版QE预期降温 黄金暂停跌势
纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场12月黄金期价11月4日收于每盎司1168.2美元，比前一交易日上升了2.9美元，涨幅为0.25%。白银期货下跌0.68%，报每盎司16.01美元。
欧央行QE预期减弱:欧盟下调欧元区今明两年经济增长预期，将2014年经济增速预期从1.2%下调至0.8%，2015年从1.7%下调至1.1%。另外据路透社报道，欧元区一些国家的央行总裁认为，欧央行总裁德拉吉的管理方式有所欠缺，与官员们的沟通缺乏一致性。欧盟下调欧元区今明两年的经济增长预期，说明欧盟对欧元区的未来经济增长持悲观态度，而欧央行内部一些国家的央行总裁对德拉基财政管理上的不满，可能导致欧版量化宽松政策难以实施，市场对于本周欧央行利率决议或执行QE的预期降温，欧元小幅回升，国际金价暂停跌势。
美国9月贸易逆差意外增大:美国9月贸易帐为-430.3亿美元，低于市场预期值-402亿美元。9月工厂订单月率为-0.6%，刚好符合市场预期。美国9月贸易帐的逆差值意外增大，是因为美国出口数值触及五个月低位，这表明中国和欧元区等主要出口市场需求转弱，可能对美国第四季的经济成长构成拖累。美国9月贸易帐的逆差意外增大，暗示美国经济可能受主要出口需求市场所在国家的负面影响而放缓，未来美元或下行修正，届时黄金可获得上行机会。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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