9.26国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
关键字:9.26国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
【行情回顾】
9月25日欧洲中盘时段,国际现货黄金价格在早盘时段创下今年1月2日以来的低位1206美元/盎司以后,纽盘早市前,金价承压于1213美元/盎司下方作低位震荡,纽约早盘时段结束前,金价跳涨至1224美元/盎司,因美国经济数据表现平淡,市场风险情绪降温,导致避险资金流入金市,但1224的相对高点并没有停留太久,金价瞬间下挫至1217美元/盎司,中盘为震荡上行至1224美元/盎司,尾盘时段以站稳1220美元/盎司上方的弱势运行为主,日收1221.59美元/盎司,涨幅为0.39%。
【基本面分析】
据外媒报道,由于昨晚作为美国科技股市场较为杰出表现的苹果(iPhone)公司,其股价猛烈下挫,拖累了美股表现,导致美股创下了近两个月来的最大跌幅,道琼斯指数、纳斯达克指数和标普500指数均录得收盘下跌接近2%的跌幅表现,股价下跌削弱了风险资产的偏好情绪,从而使金市短期内获得资金流入,而美元走势获得上涨动能并刷新近4年新高,若美元持续走强促使非美货币承压,黄金的短期上行空间将被压缩。
昨日欧央行行长德拉基在立陶宛举行的关于讨论欧洲各国货币政策的一场会议上,德拉基再三强调,若有必要时,将采取量化宽松工具,从欧元区三季度的总体经济表现上看,经济数据的持续疲弱,欧央行首轮推出的定向长期再融资计划也并未如理想,意味着欧央行的宽松政策前景备受考验,欧元区重要经济国家如德国、法国对欧央行推出的前期刺激措施评点好坏不一,导致欧元技术性反弹力度有限,美元走强将进一步反过来打压黄金,而美元走强则不会让美联储过早发出加息时点。
【技术分析】
日线图上昨日收取一根带下影线较长的小阳,日线级别行情在下方1206-1208区间形成双底,布林带开口下行,K线处于下轨位置调整小幅回升;各短中周期均线呈现空头排列下滑,K线于5、10日均线之间波幅形成上行阻力。附图MACD交叉死叉下行,指标弱势;4小时K线上,布林带缩口运行,价格运行于布林带中轨上方,附图指标MACD形成金叉,RSI拐点向下。日内建议低吸高抛为主,关键阻力位:1230,1235,1240,关键支撑位:1224,1218,1212。
【本日关键数据和事件】
德国8月进口物价、10月GfK消费者信心指数
美国第二季国内生产总值(GDP)终值及企业获利修正值、密西根大学9月消费者信心指数终值
英国央行举行金融政策委员会季度会议
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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