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8.12国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)

关键字:8.11国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)

【行情回顾】

回顾昨日黄金走势,由于周一欧美方面公布的经济数据较少,并未能为黄金价格走势带来指引,加上市场交投清淡,因此周一黄金价格总体震荡幅度不大,而市场正把焦点集中在乌克兰和俄罗斯的地缘政治问题当中,而受此消息影响,贵金属价格短期内走势仍将会较为强悍。

【基本面分析】

乌克兰国防部周一晚间表示,俄罗斯已经再度在该国与乌克兰边境集结了4.5万大军,相关军队配备有坦克、导弹系统、战斗机以及武装直升机等重型武器。乌克兰反政府武装酝酿在未来2-3天里向乌克兰政府军发动大规模袭击。

乌克兰方面称,在乌克兰当地时间周一11点(北京时间16点),已有4.5万名全副武装的俄罗斯军队在两国边境区域再度集结。相关军队配备有160辆坦克,1360辆装甲车,390门火炮,150台导弹发射器、192架战斗机和137架武装直升机。

此前,北约方面曾于上周指出俄罗斯在俄乌两国边境集结了约2万人的军队,但俄罗斯方面上周五(8月8日)称这是一次例行的“演习”,并称已经在结束演习后将军队撤回了基地内。而持续的地缘政治危机,将会导致避险资产持续流入黄金,对现货黄金行情价格将会构成支撑。

【技术分析】

上周金价曾突破7月中旬下行趋势线阻力1300关口,并成功站上20日均线,短期内走势仍略偏积极。然而,由于1327美元附近存在强劲压力,所以由短期来看,金价的上行空间仍然未能打开,因此建议投资者可以适当逢高做空。日内压力位主要集中在1315一线,而昨晚黄金顺利攻下的1308压力位置则是今日的较强支撑位置,因此炒黄金入门的建议投资者顺势而为。

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