联储决议前交投谨慎 现货黄金静待指引
关键字:现货黄金走势分析
【行情回顾】
周二亚盘时段,黄金现货价格在小幅上扬之后,在1305位置上方维持窄幅震荡走势。由于昨晚的美国经济数据好坏半参,并未能为带来方向性指引。而今晚开始召开的为期两天的美联储议息会议,或许会为市场带来新的指引。
【基本面分析】
由于本周因为有较多的重要数据公布和重要会议召开而被称为“超级周”。而在本周,美国方面将会公布GDP,利率决议以及非农业就业人口数据。在这些重大数据公布前,市场保持谨慎。而美国方面公布的经济数据整体好坏不一,数据也未能对金价构成太大影响。数据显示,美国服务业PMI以及美国达拉斯联储制造业指数好于预期,而较为重要的美国成屋销售则不及预期,使得贵金属市场继续维持盘整态势。
而黄金基金持仓维持不变,显示投资者对金价走势仍然维持谨慎的心态。截至7月27日全球最大的黄金上市交易基金SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量与前一个交易日相比持平于801.84 吨;全球最大的白银上市交易基金的现货白银持仓量与前一个交易日相比保持在10014.63 吨,总体持仓量维持不变。
【技术分析】
由于黄金日内维持在1305附近窄幅交投,总体来讲多空心态仍然相当谨慎。由黄金日K线图上看,昨日黄金在震荡走低之后,收出了一颗小阴星,虽然日内曾经测试过1300关口支撑力度,但是最终黄金仍然收于1300上方,可见1300关口对于黄金短期内仍然具备一定的支撑力度。
日内支撑位:1303 1300 1297
日内压力位:1305 1308 1315
由于黄金近期交投较为谨慎,市场观望气氛相当浓厚,因此我们短期内则认为黄金主要以区间窄幅走势为主,在没有明确的方向指引前,我们仍然建议投资者在震荡区间的上下轨进行操作,如日内黄金重回1300位置,则投资者可以适当做多,盈利目标1308,止损4美金。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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