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美国复苏缓慢 现货黄金小幅震荡

关键字:现货黄金走势分析

【行情回顾】

回顾昨日走势,周一国际现货黄金收跌,因日内美国经济数据表面经济复苏进展仍然缓慢,同时在美国二季度,美联储利率决议以及7月非农数据等重磅数据公布前,市场情绪谨慎。不过,当前乌克兰及加沙地区的冲突仍在持续,导致金价仍然维持小幅震荡。

【基本面分析】

全国房地产经纪人协会周一公布的数据显示,美国6月NAR季调后成屋签约销售指数月率下跌1.1%,预期增长0.5%,前值修正为增长6.0%,表明美国的房地产市场仍然处在艰难复苏的阶段。

美国达拉斯联储周一发布报告称,美国7月达拉斯联储制造业指数12.7,录得自去年10月份来的最高值,预期为12.8,前值11.4。该指数高于零说明制造业处于扩张状态,低于零则意味着制造业出现萎缩。由于美国经济数据好坏各半,加上今晚即将召开的美联储议息会议这一个不确定因素影响,伦敦金总体走势仍然以震荡为主。

【技术分析】

黄金昨日晚间继续维持窄幅震荡走势,从4小时图上看,均线系统再度出现粘合状态。而技术MACD指标的快慢线在0轴下方运行,红色动能柱有所缩短。RSI指标在50线附近运行,短期内仍然没有明确的方向指示。整体来看,黄金价格在美联储议息会议结束之前,将会维持震荡走势。

日内支撑位:1303 1300 1297

日内压力位:1305 1308 1315

由于黄金连日来总体振幅不大,加上在为期两天的美联储议息会议结束之前,市场的交投情绪将会相当谨慎,虽然日内美国仍然有较为重要的经济数据出炉,但是对于缺乏指引的黄金走势来讲,影响并不大,因此我们仍然维持低位小量做多的建议,介入位置1300,盈利目标1308,止损4美金。

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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