耶伦再发鹰派言论 现货黄金再失千三
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
在经历过周一的大幅下挫之后,虽然周二日间黄金现货出现较为明显的震荡企稳迹象,并低位持稳于1305上方位置,下方依托1300整数关口的强支撑,不过,无论技术面的支撑如何强盛,在昨晚美联储主席耶伦的鹰派言论下,黄金也只能被再度杀得丢盔弃甲,最终黄金击穿牛熊分界线——250日均线后,收于1300关口下方。
【基本面分析】
由于市场此前预期,耶伦在本次讲话当中的表现将不会比往日的会议中的内容有较大的不同,将继续维持鸽派论调,而对于加息时点的表示将依旧是模糊化处理。但是让人意外的是耶伦在本次会议当中,对于加息时点却表现得颇为鹰派,导致金价应声下跌,再度击穿1300关口,市场整体由多转空
在会议上,美联储主席耶伦表示,经济继续改善但是经济复苏还没有完成,劳动力市场依然存在巨大缺口,维持高度宽松的货币政策依然合适。她表示,大多数FOMC委员预期美联储在2015年开始加息,长期失业率有所下降是良好迹象,但是长期失业率问题依旧是重大关切。耶伦整体讲话偏向“鸽派”,但是问及加息及就业情况就偏向“鹰派”,总的来说耶伦对美国经济讲话偏乐观较多。由于近期美国的就业市场表现良好,若按照耶伦的观点,则很可能会提前加息,这对于黄金来讲将是一个较大的利空。
【技术分析】
由日K线图上看,由于黄金在短时间内出现连续下挫,在接连失守前期关键点位后,昨日1300关口也宣告失守,最终黄金只能退守1300关口下方,而年线则成为近期黄金上涨的最大阻力。而且在连续暴跌的情况下,均线情况并不乐观,短期均线在高位出现双死叉迹象,表明短期内黄金将仍然有较大的下跌可能性。
日内支撑位:1295 1290 1286
日内压力位:1297 1300 1305
由近期黄金走势上看,黄金连续出现大跌之后,均线系统已经遭到彻底的破坏,而且从技术角度上讲,昨日黄金的跌幅虽然不如周一,但是所包含的意义却大于周一的下跌。由于周一的下跌当中,黄金跌穿的仅仅是前期上升途中的部分支撑位置,而并不代表黄金无力挽回。然而在昨天的下跌当中,黄金不仅仅丢掉了最为重要的1300关口和年线,也跌破了近期黄金的旗形整理区间,说明黄金的走势已经出现破位,所以我们的操作思路将要转变为空头思路,我们大田贵金属建议投资者日内逢高做空,建议介入位置1300,盈利目标1294,,止损6美金。若黄金日内再度破位下行,击穿1292支撑位置后则可以适当追空,盈利目标1285.
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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