国际战火不断 现货黄金寻求突破
关键词:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧盘时段,现货黄金走势较为平缓,日间缺乏消息面指引,金价波动有限,维持在昨日冲高点位1334上方运行,压力阻位在三个半月高点1340,由于最近各种消息面显示美国经济复苏,提振美指,贵金属很可能会承压下挫,但受葡萄牙银行危机及以色列突发战事的支撑,黄金总体维持震荡上行格局。
【基本面分析】
昨日,除了欧洲银行业引发的焦虑外,目前全球地缘局势的不安也依然令不少投资者感到忧虑。继乌克兰和伊拉克战事持续外,近来巴以冲突亦接连恶化,不断助燃市场避险情绪。以色列在本周三对加沙地带发动空袭,每隔数分钟就发起一次,而巴勒斯坦民兵也不断向以色列中心地带发动攻击。巴方官员称,在这场越演越烈的冲突中,哈玛斯组织占据主导的加萨走廊至少已有53人丧生。
乌克兰局势方面也不见消停。据消息指,在周四东乌克兰亲俄罗斯分裂分子领导人罕见联合亮相,他们誓将其仅存的最大据点变为最终战场,眼下政府军正逐步逼近。乌克兰官员称他们从叛军手中夺回了东部小镇的控制权,并向夺回的地区输送补给、修复损毁的基建设施,以巩固控制。 美国白宫表示,乌克兰总统波罗申科告知副总统拜登,俄罗斯和分裂势力已经拒绝协商停火提议。在国际战事不断爆发恶化的情况下,黄金作为避险产品则受到投资者的热烈追捧,在地缘政治局势的动荡下刺激资金的流入,增加黄金买盘。
【技术分析】
从技术面上看,日线在连续14个交易日的整理后选择向上突破,黄金短期仍有向上动能。而4小时图上看,金价在昨日收线大阳后选择回调,连续收线2小阴,但回调的幅度并没有超过1335,因此1335成功由阻力位转换为目前的第一关键支撑点。日内关注压力位置1335和1340,如果金价向上突破1340成功,将顺利打开上行空间,黄金有望再次被冲高,可在1341位置做多,盈利目标看1345,止损4美元;反之,如果日线回调转向1335下方运行,那么此次多头将再遭打压,投资者则可在1335位置进场,目标1340。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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