关注葡萄牙银行危机 现货黄金再度上涨
关键字:现货黄金走势分析
【行情回顾】
周五亚洲时段,现货黄金维持在1340压力下方震荡整理,由于今天在消息面方面相对平静,而市场的焦点仍然集中在以巴冲突和葡萄牙的银行问题当中,尤其是葡萄牙的银行问题再度引发市场对之前欧债危机的担忧,导致黄金近日的走势相当强悍。
【基本面分析】
据外媒报道,当地时间7月10日,欧洲和美国股市下跌,南欧国家公债收益率上扬,因投资者担心葡萄牙最大上市银行背后的家族控股企业的财务状况,全球市场受到波及。在葡萄牙必利胜银行股价大跌19%后,该国股市监管机构暂停其交易。
葡萄牙的这些事件令整个欧洲的投资者感到不安,股市大跌。该国在2011年欧债危机最严重时开始接受国际救援,最近才刚脱离困境。受葡萄牙必利胜银行的拖累,美股亦跟随欧洲市场一道下跌。葡萄牙央行表示,必利胜银行的偿债能力较强,不过,此问题10日波及全球市场,不禁让市场回想起葡萄牙等南欧国家刚刚摆脱的严重债务和经济危机。而受此消息影响,市场再度燃起避险情绪,导致以黄金为首的避险产品均出现较大幅度的上涨。
【技术分析】
由日内黄金走势上看,黄金早间维持在1340位置持续震荡,而昨日的长上影线也影响了今日黄金的上行走势,由于1340在短期内仍然对黄金构成一定的阻力,所以在交投较为清淡的亚洲时段,黄金主要是以震荡盘整为主。但是黄金在突破1333位置后,上行通道已经正式打开,而之前走坏的技术指标也开始出现修正迹象,MACD红柱在持续缩短之后,再度出现放大迹象,而布林线也出现持续向上发散,因此短期内黄金的走势仍然以偏多为主。
日内支撑点:1335 1330 1326
日内压力点:1340 1346 1350
现货黄金价格走势图显示,日线MACD指标均线抬头向上发展,红色动能柱增加,上涨趋势仍然没有改变;KDJ指标均线金叉向上发展,趋势偏多。所以建议日内投资者主要以做多策略,若黄金日内再度回调测试1335支撑,则建议投资者逢低进场,盈利目标1343,而黄金若再度上行,则可以于1341位置小量追多,目标1345.
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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